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Will the Backbone of the Economy be the Backbone of the Recovery?

The headline was clear and to the point: Economy Shrinks at 3.8% Pace in 4Q. Now the good news was that this wasn’t as bad as all the economists were predicting. The bad news is that all of them see that pace increasing to as much as 5% shrinkage by summer. According to  Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's Economy.com, “The downturn is intensifying. The fourth quarter is worse than it looks.” Sounds ominous. Throw in growing unemployment, tighter credit, states and even whole countries on the verge of bankruptcy and you can see why things are predicted to get worse before they get any better. Small Banks and Small Business On the other hand, we have this headline as well:

By Charles M Cooper · January 30 2009 small business, economy, congress, recovery